Bah. The Arizona DBags took Lawlar. Well, there go my irrational hopes...— Guess who’s back, Scotty’s back (@anchorofgold) July 11, 2021
*Note: The Following was pasted from my 2021 MLB Draft 1st Round Primer: The Commits.
SS Jordan “The King” Lawlar
Depending on who you ask, either Lawlar or Marcelo Mayer is the top SS in this draft. He would be a Day One starter if he decided to come to Vandy—though maybe not at SS, as when Mighty Carter Young’s shoulder finally heals, I expect him to get back to being the Gold Glove type fielder I know he can be. Now I could spend about 1,000 words speculating on what position The King would play at The Hawk, but I’m not hearing any Kumar Rocker/Jack Leiter/Tyler Beede type talk suggesting that Lawlar might turn down the big bucks to come play for Corbs. If he somehow does, we party, but usually we know by now if a kid this talented is going to make it to campus.
Here’s the scouting report from MLB.com:
As a five-tool shortstop from a Dallas-area high school, Lawlar inevitably draws parallels to Bobby Witt Jr., the No. 2 overall pick in 2019 by the Royals. While Witt had louder tools and was more advanced because he grew up around the game as the son of a 16-year big leaguer, Lawlar should go in the same area of the 2021 Draft. He entered the year as the consensus top high school prospect and won Gatorade’s Texas high school player of the year award.
Lawlar is a more polished hitter than Witt was at the same stage with a quick, compact right-handed swing and a mature, patient approach, though he has struck out more than expected as a senior. He focuses on working the gaps and has a knack for inside-outing balls to right field. With his bat speed and the projectable strength in his 6-foot-2 frame, he should develop solid power once he adds strength and starts turning on more pitches.
Lawlar’s plus speed plays well on the bases and in the field, and he’ll even clock some well-above-average run times on occasion. The Vanderbilt recruit is a no-doubt shortstop with plenty of range, quick hands and a strong arm, though like most youngsters he needs to improve his defensive consistency. There isn’t much to quibble with his game, though teams with age-based models won’t like that he’ll turn 19 a week after the Draft.
It’s easy to see why an MLB scout would fall in love with his game and with his potential. Lawlar is a big SS—6’2”, 185 lbs—in the ARod mold. While no one truly comps to ARod, the big SS has real thunder in his bat, quick hands, and a cannon for an arm. The big question with Lawlar is whether or not you think he will stick at SS, and whether you discount him for being slightly older than most in his draft class. If you think he can play an impact SS at the Major League level, you take him #1 overall. If no, you still take him in the top half of the first round, because that bat is special. Like Austin Martin last year, Lawlar could pretty easily become a CF if SS doesn’t work out.
Unless he takes his own name off the board, expect Lawlar to go within the first 10 picks.
Range: Top 10.
MLB.com Current Mock Draft: #6 to the Arizona D’Bags.
Chance He Signs With The Team Who Drafts Him: 99.99%. It will take a miracle to get him to The Hawk.