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Vanderbilt 73, Florida 71: This time the other team blew a double-digit lead

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The Commodores beat the Gators for the fourth time in a row.

NCAA Basketball: Florida at Vanderbilt Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

When Florida led Vanderbilt 54-42 with 11:29 left in the game, the Commodores’ win probability was 3.8%.

That’s actually the lowest win probability Vanderbilt has had in any point of a game it’s won this season, and Saturday marked the first time this season that Vanderbilt has overcome a double-digit deficit in the second half (they’ve erased two double-digit leads in the first half before.) We notice the pattern of blown leads, so it’s only fair to point out when Vanderbilt came back from a significant deficit.

Of course, Florida helped matters by missing free throws, and really by just not scoring in general. The Gators went three minutes without scoring late in the second half, and that allowed Vanderbilt to erase the deficit. And Luke Kornet and Nolan Cressler got to go out as winners in their final game at Memorial Gym.

Individual Stats

Player MIN FG FGA 3FG 3FGA FT FTA ORB DRB REB PF PTS AST TO BLK STL AdjGS GS/Min
Luke Kornet 37 7 17 2 8 8 10 1 5 6 3 24 1 1 2 1 24.1 0.65
Jeff Roberson 36 5 5 1 1 4 4 2 4 6 4 15 1 1 1 2 23.6 0.66
Nolan Cressler 32 5 9 0 3 3 3 0 6 6 3 13 3 2 0 1 14.5 0.45
Riley LaChance 31 4 9 1 3 4 5 0 5 5 3 13 4 1 0 0 14.0 0.45
Payton Willis 11 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 4.2 0.38
Djery Baptiste 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0 -0.33
Clevon Brown 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0 -0.49
Joe Toye 33 1 5 1 2 1 4 0 2 2 3 4 0 3 0 2 -2.7 -0.08
Matthew Fisher-Davis 15 1 5 0 3 0 1 1 2 3 2 2 0 1 0 0 -2.8 -0.19
  • On Senior Day, Luke Kornet actually tied a career high with 24 points (that was set in the Tennessee State game in his sophomore year.) He also needs just one more block to tie the Vanderbilt career blocks record (currently held by Festus Ezeli.) I think he’ll get it, though it would have been sort of cool if he’d done it on Senior Day.
  • Jeff Roberson seemed to be struggling with his jump shot earlier in the season. On the other hand, dunks are an easy way to boost your shooting percentage.
  • Again, Nolan Cressler being a good player for this team is something few saw coming, though lots of people thought he was going to be a good player going into last year. So it was a year late coming.
  • Also, Riley LaChance’s mystery sophomore year was a big reason Vanderbilt underachieved last year, but his rebound this year is a reason Vanderbilt’s (arguably) overachieving.
  • Hey, Payton Willis had a positive game score!
  • Then again, four players didn’t. Djery Baptiste and Clevon Brown played 3 and 2 minutes, respectively, and didn’t do anything. On the other hand, Joe Toye made Vanderbilt fans sweat with a couple of late free throw misses.
  • And there hasn’t really been much reason for him to play more, but do you realize that Matthew Fisher-Davis has played 33 minutes — combined — in the last two games? The 15 minutes he played yesterday was ten minutes less than in the Gumgate game. I’m curious to see whether he’ll be back next year at this point.

What’s Next

The SEC Tournament. Vanderbilt will open the tournament on Thursday at 6:00 PM CT against Texas A&M, and the game will be televised on the SEC Network. As of right now, Vanderbilt is probably in the field, but if I had to guess the Commodores will need to at least beat the Aggies on Thursday to stay there. (Jerry Palm still doesn’t have us in, though.) If Vanderbilt wins that, they’ll play Florida again on Friday. Look how that worked out!