clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Sports Illustrated Mock Draft: Dansby Swanson #1 to the D'Backs

New, comments

They took a bunch of our commits last year, so why not our star SS?

Dansby Swanson, potential #1 overall pick.
Dansby Swanson, potential #1 overall pick.
Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports

The Sports Illustrated Mock Draft is done by David Rawnsley, the former Assistant Scouting Director for the Houston Astros, former Baseball America writer, and currently works as the Vice-President, Player Personal with Perfect Game. It covers the 1st round and Supplemental 1st round.

Click the link at the beginning of the opening paragraph to check it out.  For the TL;DR crowd, here's the current and future Vandy players involved:

#1. Arizona Diamondbacks - Dansby Swanson, SS, Vanderbilt

#8. Chicago White Sox - Carson Fulmer, RHP, Vanderbilt

#9. Chicago Cubs - Walker Buehler, RHP, Vanderbilt

#23. St. Louis Cardinals - Donny Everett, RHP, Clarskville, TN (Vanderbilt Commit)

My Take:

Rawnsley is prioritizing high value, under-slot deals for college players in this draft, and with the underwhelming crop of high school talent at the top of the draft, I think he's wise to.  I could definitely see Swanson accepting a slightly under-slot deal to go #1 overall, as there's so much volatility at the top of the draft.  Swanson's likely floor is the #10 pick, so it's not like he has to jump at an under-slot deal, but an under-slot deal at #1 is likely more money than the #2 pick will get, so it's a bit of a misnomer.  If Arizona takes him, he will be the 2nd ever #1 overall pick from Vanderbilt (David Price to the Rays).

I can completely understand the White Sox taking Fulmer, but I doubt he falls past the Red Sox, unless somehow Alex Bregman is available.

Walker Buehler to the Cubs is not something I've been hearing, but it makes sense.  I see his ceiling at #8 and floor at #13, but it's really difficult to project this draft.

Everett is the only Vanderbilt commit Rawnsley has going in the first round and supplemental first round.  If it works out this way on draft day, we're happy, except if all these projected under-slot deals are done to be able to throw more money at Vanderbilt commits in the 2nd round (which they might just be).

Either way, this is nothing but great news for the defending National Champions, as Corbin will be able to point to Swanson, Fulmer, and Buehler as benefiting greatly financially by choosing to spend three years developing under Corbin, Brown, and Jewett.  Corbin can continue to offer a world-class education, the ability to compete for championships year in and year out, great coaching, playing against the best college competition (SEC), and more and more examples that it's a wise decision from a purely financial standpoint (even if you remove all of the other selling points).  I mean... all that, or riding the bus for the Idaho Falls Chukars while constantly being hit up for loans/hand-outs by relatives you've never even met.  You decide.

See more of my take on Donny Everett here.

See Jim Callis's MLB.com Mock Draft here, where he has Swanson #1, Fulmer #5, Buehler #10, and Everett #22.

See Baseball America's most recent Mock Draft here, where they have Swanson #2, Fulmer #8, Buehler #13, and Everett #17.