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NITpicking: A Statistical Overview of Vanderbilt @ Stanford

Wherein I breakdown the KenPom scouting report data.

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

For the sake of clarity, Vanderbilt shall be on the left, Stanford on the right.

Category Offense Defense D-I Avg Offense Defense Advantage
Adj. Efficiency 113.4 (20) 99.8 (110) 102.1 111.5 (29) 98.8 (97) VANDERBILT
Adj. Tempo 63.8 (227) 64.8 65.6 (132)
Four Factors
Effective FG% 54.5 (19) 46.4 (67) 49.1 49.4 (156) 48.9 (161) VANDERBILT
Turnover % 20.1 (245) 18.2 (225) 19.1 16.1 (26) 17.4 (272) STANFORD
Off. Reb. % 32.1 (125) 33.1 (268) 31.1 33.7 (91) 27.6 (38) STANFORD
FTA / FGA (FTRate) 42.6 (43) 34.0 (117) 37.0 40.0 (91) 36.3 (164) VANDERBILT
Miscellaneous Components
3P% 39.2 (16) 33.9 (158) 34.4 38.0 (40) 37.7 (314) VANDERBILT
2P% 52.0 (37) 44.2 (53) 47.8 45.9 (251) 45.3 (82) VANDERBILT
FT% 71.0 (101) 68.8 (144) 69.2 72.4 (68) 68.0 (102) STANFORD
Block% 9.5 (166) 14.2 (17) 9.6 8.0 (56) 7.4 (270) VANDERBILT
Steal% 10.0 (250) 7.7 (300) 9.4 7.0 (7) 8.2 (267) STANFORD
Style Components
3PA / FGA 36.3 (117) 33.0 (134) 34.2 31.1 (253) 32.0 (108)
A / FGM 64.8 (8) 49.5 (70) 53.1 48.6 (267) 51.4 (128) VANDERBILT
Defensive Fingerprint Mostly Man X Mostly Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers 30.7 (109) 28.9 (164) 28.5 27.7 (195) 29.6 (135) VANDERBILT
2-Pointers 47.5 (268) 51.0 (170) 50.8 50.3 (201) 49.6 (215) STANFORD
Free Throws 21.7 (119) 20.1 (198) 20.7 22.7 (80) 20.2 (196) STANFORD
Strength of Schedule
Components 103.4 (102) 99.2 (29) 102.1 106.1 (25) 99.9 (58)
Overall .6187 (72) .5000 .6671 (39) STANFORD
Non-conference .3887 (293) .5000 .5260 (140) STANFORD
Personnel
Bench Minutes 31.9% (189) 32.2% 28.2% (265) VANDERBILT
Experience 0.71 yrs (347) 1.67 1.95 yrs (91) STANFORD
Effective Height +3.6 (17) 0.0 +3.4 (22) VANDERBILT
Average Height 78.0" (23) 76.7" 78.1" (21) STANFORD

Ken Pomeroy's system sees Vanderbilt as the better team. The data predicts a 72-69 Cardinal victory with a 36% confidence that Vanderbilt will advance.

What stands out to you?