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NITpicking: A Statistical Overview of Vanderbilt vs South Dakota State

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Wherein I breakdown the KenPom scouting report data.

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

For the sake of clarity, Vanderbilt shall be on the left, South Dakota State's on the right.

Category Offense Defense D-I Avg Offense Defense Advantage
Adj. Efficiency 112.9 (23) 99.0 (99) 102.1 106.2 (87) 99.8 (112) VANDERBILT
Adj. Tempo 63.7 (242) 64.8 66.3 (100)
Four Factors
Effective FG% 54.0 (26) 46.5 (69) 49.0 52.2 (55) 46.6 (72) VANDERBILT
Turnover % 20.1 (250) 18.4 (217) 19.1 17.1 (55) 18.1 (237) SD STATE
Off. Reb. % 32.0 (127) 33.1 (269) 31.1 28.7 (259) 28.0 (46) SD STATE
FTA / FGA (FTRate) 41.8 (60) 34.0 (116) 37.1 40.6 (79) 40.4 (241) VANDERBILT
Miscellaneous Components
3P% 38.6 (27) 33.5 (135) 34.3 37.9 (40) 33.8 (153) VANDERBILT
2P% 51.8 (40) 44.6 (64) 47.8 49.2 (106) 44.7 (66) VANDERBILT
FT% 71.1 (101) 68.5 (129) 69.2 71.4 (98) 65.9 (29) SD STATE
Block% 9.6 (171) 13.6 (31) 9.6 8.2 (65) 9.7 (163) VANDERBILT
Steal% 10.0 (249) 7.8 (300) 9.4 9.4 (182) 7.8 (298) SD STATE
Style Components
3PA / FGA 36.1 (122) 33.0 (136) 34.2 39.0 (57) 31.2 (84)
A / FGM 64.3 (7) 49.1 (63) 53.2 49.1 (261) 48.9 (57) VANDERBILT
Defensive Fingerprint Mostly Man X Mostly Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers 30.4 (118) 28.5 (174) 28.5 33.3 (58) 26.4 (245) SD STATE
2-Pointers 48.1 (257) 51.4 (154) 50.8 45.0 (314) 51.3 (161) VANDERBILT
Free Throws 21.6 (134) 20.0 (201) 20.7 21.8 (122) 22.2 (102)
Strength of Schedule
Components 103.7 (99) 98.9 (24) 102.1 101.4 (211) 104.1 (255)
Overall .6332 (66) .5000 .4248 (231) VANDERBILT
Non-conference .3929 (295) .5000 .5141 (156) SD STATE
Personnel
Bench Minutes 31.9% (189) 32.2% 29.8% (237) VANDERBILT
Experience 0.71 yrs (347) 1.67 1.72 yrs (162) SD STATE
Effective Height +3.6 (17) 0.0 -0.2 (187) VANDERBILT
Average Height 78.0" (23) 76.7" 77.3" (94) VANDERBILT

Ken Pomeroy's system sees Vanderbilt as the better team. The data predicts a 74-65 Commodore victory with an 81% confidence that Vanderbilt will advance.

What stands out to you?