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Periscope: Vanderbilt vs. LSU

By KingJamesIV

Checking in from Las Vegas, so I'm going to make this as brief as possible. LSU is having a horrible year. Poor Tasmin Mitchell. It really is a shame that his final year of eligibility for the Tigers has been wasted on such a poor season.

Tigers vs Commodores coverage

Based purely on the numbers, LSU is among the 5 worst teams Vanderbilt has faced thus far this season. They are subpar offensively and defensively, and it shows in their statistical rankings below.

For LSU to win this matchup, there really must be a perfect storm of confluence I'd prefer to think of as singularity. Vanderbilt has proven to be a consistent top-10 offense in the country (despite such a tough SOS). LSU is the worst defensive team in the SEC, at least according to Ken Pomeroy. That's probably why he has calculated the Vanderbilt winning probability at 97% (80-58, with a tempo of 66).

Schedule Breakdown

Statistical Breakdown

 

Among the starters, Vanderbilt holds a commanding edge in the tempo free statistics, nearly sweeping the Tigers. Unsurprisingly, Vandy is the deeper team and the bench statistics reflect that as well.

Four Factors: Vandy holds commanding margins in eFG%, FTRate, and a slim margin in turnover percentage, despite having played a much tougher schedule. LSU holds a minor lead in OReb%. Prediction: Vanderbilt sweeps all four.

Traditional Statistics - LSU Tigers

FG 3PT FT Rebounds Misc
G M M A Pct M A Pct M A Pct Off Def Tot Ast TO Stl Blk PF PPG
Tasmin Mitchell 24 37.9 6.6 14.6 45.1 0.8 2.8 29.9 3.2 4.4 72.6 3.0 6.7 9.8 1.8 2.3 1.3 0.4 2.2 17.2
Bo Spencer 23 35.4 4.8 14.3 33.8 1.9 6.9 27.8 3.4 4.1 83.0 0.4 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.7 1.0 0.1 1.3 15.0
Storm Warren 24 26.7 4.4 7.9 55.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 4.8 68.4 3.3 4.0 7.3 0.4 1.5 0.9 1.5 3.2 12.0
Dennis Harris 22 13.0 1.6 3.2 50.7 0.1 0.5 30.0 0.5 1.0 50.0 0.7 2.0 2.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 2.0 3.9
Zach Kinsley 24 15.5 1.3 3.5 37.3 0.6 1.4 44.1 0.6 0.8 83.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.4 3.8
Aaron Dotson 24 20.4 1.2 4.1 28.6 0.3 1.8 14.3 0.8 1.5 50.0 0.3 1.5 1.9 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.5 2.3 3.3
Chris Bass 24 25.0 1.0 2.6 39.7 0.3 1.1 23.1 0.3 0.8 42.1 0.3 2.0 2.3 3.0 1.3 0.8 0.2 1.8 2.7
Eddie Ludwig 24 11.7 0.6 2.0 31.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.9 90.5 0.8 1.4 2.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.7 2.0
Garrett Green 24 10.5 0.8 2.7 30.8 0.0 0.2 25.0 0.3 1.0 30.4 1.2 1.5 2.6 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.3 1.7 2.0
Chris Beattie 12 7.3 0.6 1.9 30.4 0.5 1.4 35.3 0.2 0.3 66.7 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.8
Daron Populist 10 8.5 0.3 1.1 27.3 0.2 0.8 25.0 0.1 0.2 50.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9
Taylor Jacobsen 4 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0


Game Previews

MBB to tangle with LSU Saturday afternoon - VANDERBILT OFFICIAL ATHLETIC SITE

Vanderbilt must fight 'let-down' trend against LSU | Nashville City Paper

Preview: LSU at Vanderbilt | VandyMania.com (Scout - Premium)

Previewing LSU at Vanderbilt | VandySports.com (Rivals - Premium)

And The Valley Shook is the SB Nation affiliate for the LSU Tigers. I'll link to their game preview if/when they post it.

Tipoff is scheduled for 12.30 CT and the game will be televised by the SEC Network (Comcast ch. 14 or 236 HD), though the game will also be available on ESPN Full Court and ESPN360.com. Our open gamethread will go live about an hour before tipoff. Also, don't forget to head over to Stat-King to submit your predictions for the game.

Poll

Margin of Victory - Vanderbilt vs. LSU

This poll is closed

  • 13%
    Vanderbilt by >20
    (2 votes)
  • 86%
    Vanderbilt by 10-20
    (13 votes)
  • 0%
    Vanderbilt by <10
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    LSU
    (0 votes)
15 votes total Vote Now

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