The SEC's Worst Losses: Georgia (Part I)
Vanderbilt will look to keep their hot streak going as they roll into their third SEC game of the season, a home contest versus 9-7 Georgia on Saturday afternoon. The Commodores have won their last six games after an ugly upset at the hands of Indiana State. Conversely, the Bulldogs are in the midst of a two-game losing streak, dropping games to upper tier conference opponents Alabama and Florida.
Georgia has yet to notch a signature win this season. They are 2-6 against teams from BCS conferences and the CBS RPI rates their best win of the season as a 72-61 home victory against South Dakota State. Their two losses in conference play have been by 15 and 22 points.
The 'Dawgs are reeling from the loss of last year's stars Trey Thompkins and Travis Leslie. That duo fueled UGA to the NCAA Tournament in 2011 and were both later drafted by the Clippers in the second round of the NBA Draft. Without them, solid scorers Gerald Robinson and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope have stepped up to lead the team offensively, but Bulldogs' inefficient play and lack of a cohesive defense have dropped them to the lower level of the SEC. Georgia has allowed conference opponents to shoot 52.6 percent from the field against them, while shooting just 38.3 percent on their own.
Before they struggled in conference play, they notched some losses against other major conference foes. Let's examine how Georgia Tech beat the Bulldogs and see if there's a blueprint there that the Commodores can exploit on Saturday.
Georgia (9-7, unranked, #135 in the Pomeroy Rankings)
Other Losses: vs. California, at Xavier, at Colorado, vs. Cincinnati, vs. Alabama, at Florida
The Bulldogs' schedule is littered with BCS-level opponents, but few wins. Coach Mark Fox should be commended for his ambition, but a Georgia team without Thompkins and Leslie was bound to disappoint against a slate of talented teams in the out-of-conference schedule. The team suffered double-digit losses to Cal, Xavier, Colorado, and worst of all, Georgia Tech.
December's rivalry game brought UGA's most disappointing loss of the season. The Yellow Jackets have losses to schools like Mercer and Fordham in 2011-2012, but left Athens with a big win early in their season. Tech shot over 52 percent from the field and turned a four-point Georgia lead into a 12-point win at Stegeman Coliseum.
Key to Destruction: Letting Georgia's shooters bury themselves. Tech played into the Bulldogs' slow pace with stout defense that shut down Georgia's drives and dared them to score from the perimeter. The Yellow Jackets sunk their coverage towards the paint in the second half and watched UGA jack up 13 three-pointers, making just three. This inefficiency was the key in a 16-point swing between the two periods.
This wasn't necessarily an outlier for the Bulldogs. Caldwell-Pope leads the team in attempted three-pointers with 6.7 per game, but he's connecting on just 32.7 percent of those shots. As a team, the 'Dawgs have averaged 20 three-point shots per game, but have scored on only approximately a third of those. They aren't afraid to take long shots, but only Dustin Ware has proven that he can be a consistent threat from the perimeter.
Keys to the Game:
- Ride out Georgia's hot streaks by mixing defensive looks. Georgia came out hot from behind the arc, getting open looks and hitting three of their first four three-pointers to open up an early lead. However, Tech adjusted quickly to take away UGA's momentum and force some bad shots. After this hot start, the Bulldogs went 3-22 from long range, and Georgia Tech was happy to let the 'Dawgs shoot themselves out of the game. UGA relies heavily on the three-pointer without a consistent threat in the paint - they went 21-39 from behind the arc in wins over USC and Notre Dame - but if they can't score efficiently from the perimeter, then they'll struggle to put up enough points to beat Vanderbilt.
- Roll with the slow pace. Georgia has shown that they can lure almost anyone in the country into their slow-paced brand of basketball. However, they haven't shown that they can efficiently defend opponents in the half-court set. Vanderbilt's ball movement in two SEC games so far has been solid - they proved that they can outpass the press against South Carolina and find open looks against Auburn. If they can continue to play patiently and pick their shots, Georgia will give them plenty of opportunities to find easy baskets.
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Make your free throws. Georgia lost their composure in the final eight minutes of the Tech game. Over this span, Georgia Tech shot 18 free throws, effectively sealing the win in Athens. The Yellow Jackets scored 13 of their final 17 points from the line. Vanderbilt's always had solid free throw shooting, but there have been hiccups along the way this season. UGA doesn't have the size to deal with Vandy's front line in the paint, and there should be plenty of opportunities for Festus Ezeli, Steve Tchiengang, and Lance Goulbourne to make them pay from the line.
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Ouch
Normally I am safe here at AOG and don’t have to be reminded how bad Tech is this year.
Tech did take some of the luster off Vandy’s win over NCST last night.
Hey, you won your rivalry game
So you’ve got that going for you…which is nice.
by Christian D'Andrea on Jan 12, 2012 1:34 PM EST up reply actions
Too bad that game was in Athens. They are 0-3 at "home" this year
Tech is very athletic so they should steal a few more wins this year, but they have little to no point guard play and can’t shoot from three point range. That is a bad combination.
Just noticed Seth Davis at CBS
mentioned Vandy as one of the 10 things to watch in the 2nd half of the year. Can a nearly-healthy Fes give us enough to compete with KY?
I might counter to Seth that Fes doesnt seem “near-healthy” if you watch him. He’s no where near the player he was a year ago, at least not that we’ve seen. But I thought it was interesting that Seth mentioned us, not Florida.
Here’s hoping Fes does get back to full health and we do give the cats something to worry about.
Despite the recent blowout
Florida has been struggling a little lately (losses to Rutgers and Tennessee). Far from horrible losses (cough Indiana St.), but they haven’t been playing at Vandy’s level since Christmas. And anyone who’s watched the last two games can tell you that Festus doesn’t need to be healthy to change the game. Both Auburn and SC consistently double teamed him when he was in. That’s one of the reasons why we’ve been finding open guys on the perimeter. Post→Double Team → back to wing → Swing the ball → open three. Not to mention that post D. My god the post D.
by henryshort on Jan 12, 2012 2:59 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Tennessee
is not significantly better than Indiana St. it, despite their major conference branding. And while it was a road loss, it was a double digit loss. But that just backs up your point I guess. It is also troubling for UF that they have zero road wins so far this season. Honestly, they have two decent home wins and that’s it. They’ve got two good losses to excellent teams, and a bunch of wins against some average to horrible teams. And two losses to average at best teams.
But as much as we depend on the three point shot, UF does even more so. They actually take a higher percentage of their shots from three than we do, which is a crazy departure from last season where they lived on the inside. Which is to say that if they are on, they can outscore anybody, but if not, their defense is not particularly good and can get beat by a lot of teams.
by Jason Fukuda on Jan 12, 2012 3:46 PM EST up reply actions
Is it safe to say that the SEC may be down this year?
Florida can’t win on the road, we’ve lost three home games in what ought to be the toughest home court in the country, Kentucky looked downright vulnerable against an Auburn team that we held to Carter-era point totals, South Carolina stung us for a sorority-intramural-embarrassing 12 points in the first half, Alabama isn’t the worldbeater people thought Grant might make them (though it looks like he can recruit)…I’m not saying we’re the Pac-12 or anything, but do we somehow just collectively not have the juice this season?
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52
by VandyImport on Jan 13, 2012 12:14 PM EST up reply actions
I think all the teams are flawed to some extent
FL isnt getting any inside game. UK is really young. We’ve missed Fes, not to mention our problems with quick guards. Bama is still developing. MSU has shown nice flashes. LSU has shown improvement, but that’s not hard given where they were last year. Everyone else seems to really be rebuilding.
Down from what?
Last season the entire Western division was awful. Alabama managed to go 12-4 despite being horrible in the preseason. Outside of UF every team was very flawed last season, and there were two legitimately horrible teams in LSU and Auburn. This season MSU has gone from awful to pretty good and LSU has gone from horrible to above average.
Our home woes are disappointing, but OTOH, we’ve been very good on the road so far, having won 5 road/neutral games so far, with our only setback being a two point OT loss to Louisville.
I think you might be having difficulty separating what you saw in November and December from what the team is starting to evolve into. We’ve gone from a team that was playing a 10 man rotation (that did not include Festus) to a team that is playing a 9 man rotation with Festus and Steve basically splitting time at the 5. We are a much, much better team than we were even four weeks ago, which greatly changes the complection of the conference. This isn’t to say that we will have a great postseason, but I believe that we are on a trajectory to have a very good SEC season.
by Jason Fukuda on Jan 13, 2012 2:13 PM EST up reply actions
Oh it's lopsided all right
It’s the inverse of football for every other sport – basketball and baseball are definitely East Good, West Not So Hot. If the league is off its pace, we ought to be able to make the kind of run through the SEC schedule that will make people forget our early woes. But if the rest of the league is crap-ish, it might not help us with the Sagarin, the SOS or the committee.
But yeah, last year the SEC did not cover itself in glory. I don’t expect that to change in 2012…
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52

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