The Commodore Review: How Vanderbilt Really Looked Against #12 South Carolina
The Vanderbilt hype train lost a bit of steam this past weekend with the team's loss to South Carolina. A stagnant offense was unable to convert on the opportunities a stout defense gave them, and the end result was a 21-3 loss in which the Commodores never really threatened the home team. The defeat ended the team's chances at an early-season top 25 ranking and evened their SEC record at 1-1.
The Vandy defense came up with four interceptions, but the team couldn't convert those into any more than three points on the scoreboard. Towards the end of the game, it became clear that the team's best shot at a touchdown was a pick-six. The team's gadget plays had no effect on Steve Spurrier's squad. Quarterback Larry Smith's inability to stretch the field, combined with the offensive line's matador style of blocking, ensured that short gains were negated by losses in three-play "drives" all night.
For the game, the offense totaled 77 yards. There were only five first downs. Smith passed for 2.8 yards per attempt DESPITE completing 75 percent of his passes. He was credited with -30 yards rushing. And somehow, things seemed even worse than the statistics suggest.
This still-evolving offense relies too heavily on extraordinary individual efforts to put points on the board. Every play seems to develop from within five yards of the line of scrimmage. This is great when guys like Zac Stacy and Jerron Seymour can break a few tackles and get downfield, but falls apart when a fast defense like South Carolina's can stop these quick patterns in their tracks. That's how a player like Smith ends up averaging less than four yards per completion. His longest pass of the day went for nine yards. Three Vandy passes ended in losses on the night.
Outstanding individual efforts can carry this team against squads like UConn and Ole Miss, but Saturday's game versus South Carolina was a rude awakening for James Franklin and his crew. They'll have to take a good hard look at the quarterback position and weigh Jordan Rodgers against Smith to start next week's game against Alabama. Smith left Saturday's tilt with a neck stinger but says he'll be ready to go in Tuscaloosa. Franklin suggests he'll be taking the team's snaps as long as he's healthy.
If that's the case, Nick Saban will probably have a good idea of what to expect. Short passes, and lots of them.
Good/Bad analysis and the PiBB ICE Player of the Week are after the jump...
The good:
- Four interceptions. The 'Dores capitalized on Stephen Garcia's mistakes, reeling off three interceptions in the first four series of Saturday night's game. While tackling in the secondary is still improving, it's tough to ask for anything more from the team's defensive backs when it comes to coverage. That makes 14 interceptions and 267 return yards on the year for the Commodores.
- Alshon Jeffery: 2 catches for 34 yards. Aaron Mellette's big game for Elon suggested that Jeffery, a potential first-round talent at wide receiver, could torch the 'Dores secondary in a big way. Instead, Casey Hayward and solid over-the-top help from safeties Javon Marshall and Sean Richardson shut down the big target. Without Jeffery to throw to, Garcia was forced to make mistakes, and those interceptions were the only thing that kept Vanderbilt in this game Saturday.
The bad:
- The offense. No, seriously.
- THE OFFENSE.
- Tristan Strong's injury: Strong, a redshirt junior, will be out for the remainder of the season thanks to an ACL tear suffered in last week's game. Despite not playing significant minutes until the 2011 season, his development alongside Chris Marve and Chase Garnham had been a pleasant surprise for the 'Dores. Now, the team will turn to Archibald Barnes to step in. Barnes is capable of replacing what Strong brought to the table, but the injury is a blow to one of the team's most shallow positions.
- Throwing the ball downfield. Vanderbilt had one catch for more than 10 yards Saturday, and that came from redshirt junior Jordan Rodgers. Smith may be this team's leader, but Rodgers is the player who is better equipped to get the ball downfield. James Franklin was adamant that Smith is his guy against Alabama next week, but if the Tide are stacking their defense along the line of scrimmage and leaving space for Vanderbilt to stretch the field, the calls for Rodgers to take over at QB will only get louder.
The PiBB ICE Player of the Week: Casey Hayward
Hayward caught as many passes from Stephen Garcia as Alshon Jeffery, effectively taking the All-American out of the game. His first quarter picks sent a message to the Gamecocks, forcing Garcia to target other receivers all night. He has four interceptions already this season and is making a case to become a high-round selection at the 2012 NFL Draft.
*Yes, I realize that this column is about three days late. No, it's not because Vanderbilt lost. It's because I was in the middle of a 26-hour drive from Florida to Rhode Island to help a friend U-Haul everything he owns 1400 miles up Route 95. THAT'S why you want me as the best man in any prospective weddings you may have coming up.
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It was disappointing, but transitioning is not easy.
There will be setbacks…highs and lows. SCAR is a damn good football, and Vandy isn’t the first offense to get stifled by them.
It was an ugly game, but the play of the defense was encouraging, even though Steven Garcia is the worst quarterback to ever hold a football. Holding Lattimore to under 4ypc is respectable, IMO.
Things headed in the right direction for Vandy. No question there.
Formerly known as Randall W. Spetman.
The real problem is still the O-line...
There was a post a couple days ago at Moral Victory detailing the seven (SEVEN) offensive linemen that have left the program in the last two years (one by way of injury this year, and the others by whatever instrumentality). Those losses, and the youth of the replacements, strongly suggest to me that the offense is going to struggle all year even if you get Warren Norman healthy, scrounge another year of eligibility for Jay Cutler, and take some of Bill Wade’s DNA to the medical school to grow a viable clone.
All this is notionally by way of saying that it probably won’t make a difference who’s at QB. But.
Neck-type injuries are nothing to mess with. And not to keep harping on my Cal experiences, but Nate Longshore played most of the back half of 2007 with a free-floating bone spur after getting hurt in the fifth game of the year. He missed the sixth (and Cal lost) but he played the rest of the way, hurt, and Cal went from 5-0 to 6-6…and didn’t get yanked until the Bears were already down by 3 touchdowns in the Armed Forces Bowl, at which point the backup went in and led a comeback and won.
I say all that to say this: I don’t question CJF when he says that Larry Smith is better suited to run this offense than Jordan Rodgers. If it were otherwise, Rodgers would have gotten the start; enough guys have been turned over at other positions that I feel certain CJF doesn’t give out slots on tenure or seniority. But the question becomes: is 80% of Larry Smith a better option than a 100% Jordan Rodgers? Especially if Smith is potentially vulnerable to more serious injury.
Too many coaches (and I’m pointing a whole arm at Tedford of Cal here) have this inexplicable sense that decisions made in August two-a-days are legally binding on the rest of the season. CJF doesn’t strike me as that guy. If he thinks Smith is the man to take the snaps, I’m willing to abide by his judgement. At some point, though, it may be necessary to get Rodgers some live-fire first-quarter playing time, just to settle any rumblings that the backup QB (always the most popular guy on the team; greetings from the Washington Redskins) is somehow the panacea the team has been in desperate need of.
I guess my thinking is this: given that Smith had a neck injury, this is as good a time as any to do some QB rotation early on. If nothing else, it forces Alabama to plan for two different quarterbacks (not that I expect the plan to be that much different as both will boil down to SIC QB). But most of all, there’s this: a hurt QB is more likely to be a sidelined QB later, and whoever’s next in line needs to get reps with the first team against the day it happens.
Bottom line: we’re probably only going to have two or three more games where we are favored to win. We need to have our best options healthy and ready for Army, Kentucky and Wake for certain. I trust that CJF knows this and is planning accordingly – I just hope it works.
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52
The fact that CJF says that it's not even a close decision
is interesting. Is Rodgers really that far behind Smith, or is he trying to keep Smith’s confidence levels boosted? All signs so far point to Smith being the guy next week, but it’s clear that the staff doesn’t have any confidence in his ability to throw deep or even middle-distance passes.
I think Smith at QB makes this team much easier to gameplan against, limits the options. That’s not to say that they can’t win with the current, gadget-heavy offense because clearly they’ve already been successful, but Saturday’s game showed that the returns are diminishing as the level of competition increases.
I’d like to see more Rodgers, but I’m ok with Smith starting against Bama. However, if he’s averaging 3 yards per attempt through the first half, I’m hoping to see him pulled in favor of someone who can shake things up a bit.
by Christian D'Andrea on Sep 29, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Agreed 100%
The O-line is killing us and will continue to do so all year long. I hope we can find a couple of talented 300 lbers looking to go “all in” for next season. Maybe borrow some from the women’s bowling team?
As for QB, I think Larry Smith might actually be that much better than Jordan Rodgers – scary as it might be. Coach Franklin has no allegiance to Larry Smith. He didn’t recruit him. If he thought Rodgers gave us a better chance to win, he’d play Rodgers in a second. Last year at UMD, the Terms bailed on the started in favor of O’Brien early in the season. After that decision led to a 9-4 season, I doubt Franklin would be afraid to pull the trigger this year if he thought it would help the team.
I also agree with the theory that Franklin does not want Grady to play behind this O-line. Coach might be willing to risk Larry’s neck, but the fact that he won’t risk Grady’s strikes me as a good thing for the future of this program.
UGA, Army, Kentucky, Tennessee, Wake. Win three.
I didn't want to say anything...
…but you have to think the Dawgs and Vawls can be had, too…maybe get one of them to make up for a slip against, say, Kentucky. Isn’t that usually how it works out?
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52
Smith
I have watched the offensive line really struggle and I don’t understand it. Given that not sure that Smith could take advantage even with the Dallas Cowboys offensive line. But the running backs sure could. Look at the blocking scheme and see if tweaking there could help.
Also HOW LONG O LORD BEFORE THERE IS PIBB ICE IN THE COCA COLA FREESTYLE MACHINE.
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52
Not going to happen
Coke has an agreement with Dr. Pepper to give DP access to Freestyle.
http://www.ftc.gov/os/caselist/1010107/100927cocacolaanal.pdf
The Freestyle machine is the greatest invention since Guinness, the wheel, the Pill, fire and the iPhone.
There’s a reason why Pizza My Heart is the traditional Lunch of Celebration for good news from the West End. Cherry Lime Fanta Zero goes great with a slice of Big Sur and the taste of VICTORY.
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52
Coke certainly thinks so...
While I think it is very cool, I’m interested to see whether the massive investment pays off.
Only on a Vandy blog, huh?
Couple of things going on here...
First, Larry Smith is not an SEC quarterback. Period. End of discussion. He wasn’t good in the bowl game. He wasn’t good last year and he is even worse this year. Is he talented? Is he an SEC caliber player? Definitely – he’s just not a quarterback. Running back. Wide receiver (maybe – see dropped pass against UConn). Anywhere but quarterback. The O-line is definitely terrible but part of them being terrible is the defense knowing Smith generally can’t throw the ball with any consistent accuracy over 10 yards. They stack the box and blitz all the time because the defense doesn’t have to worry about the long ball.
Now for Rodgers. I’m not sure what the problem is other than Franklin seems to have a love affair with Larry and has no confidence in Rodgers. Maybe he isn’t any good either but I find that really hard to believe due to his prior experience in high school and junior college. If Rodgers doesn’t get significant playing time this year I look for him to transfer to an FCS school in order to try to put up the kind of numbers he needs to get an NFL tryout. That’s almost a given based just on who he’s related to. It’s apparent unless Franklin has a complete change of mind that Rodgers will never sniff starting.
I’m not sure why it is so difficult lately for Vandy to find a decent quarterback (Chris Nickson was not a decent quarterback either) but I would hope this staff would at least be looking at trying to save a scholarship or two for one in the future.
I have to think...
…that some combination of Josh Grady and/or Lafonte Thorogood is the plan for 2011. I wouldn’t be surprised if CJF’s main intent in redshirting Grady was to preserve his eligibility until the O-line is good enough to protect him…
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52
Do you really think that's the problem?
Do you really think Johnson, Caldwell, and Franklin all had or have a “love affair with Larry” that somehow clouds their judgment? At this point, after this many coaching staffs, it should be pretty clear that Jordan ain’t Aaron. Our best hope at the QB position is that Grady or Thourogood turn out to be the real deal.
AW SHIT WE BALLIN' NOW WE GOT SPAMMERS.
"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52
by VandyImport on Sep 29, 2011 8:44 PM EDT via iPhone app reply actions

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