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The Dissolution of the Big East: How Can the SEC Capitalize?

As a football entity, the Big East had a good run. It gave us Flutie magic and Donovan McNabb  actually understanding a game clock and the first few years of Nevin Shapiro's boats and hoes campaign at Miami. Unfortunately, with the pending defections of Syracuse and Pittsburgh, the good times might be over.

The conference is set to drop to seven teams, including a new member - TCU - who has a tenuous connection to the league right now. That won't be enough to retain their automatic bid status in the BCS. As a result, the league will have to add universities to avoid a total collapse. Rumors suggest that Baylor and Iowa State are among the teams that are looking switch allegiances to the embattled conference. However, the addition of two low-level Big 12 schools may not be enough to appease the remaining football members of the Big East.

Pitt and Syracuse could be the first in a series of members to leave what has arguably been the weakest BCS conference of the past decade. Despite the derision many of these teams have faced, several present serious value to a conference thanks to either strong football tradition or large media markets. The SEC, currently working with 13 members thanks to the addition of Texas A&M, will be taking a hard look at a 14th (or even 15th and 16th) team to balance out the SEC East and move closer to "superconference" status.

So is there anyone in the Big East hodgepodge that could fit in the SEC? Schools like Connecticut and Rutgers present new media markets but don't fit stylistically. Other campuses in Louisville and Morgantown better fit the southern profile, but may not lack the drawing power that the league is looking for in expansion compared to a high-profile addition like A&M.

Today, we'll look at the seven stranded members of the Big East and how they could fit into the SEC as a balancing member of the country's premiere football conference. Some are decent fits that might fall victim to intra-league politics. Others won't get more than a cursory glance from SEC admins. And then there's Rutgers...

 

Star-divide

 

The Brush-Offs:

Rutger_50_medium

Rutgers: The school is a football and basketball mess that is often over-valued thanks to a tenuous connection to the New York City media market. Rutgers experienced a brief revival in the 2000s thanks to players like Ray Rice, Brian Leonard, and the immortal Jeremy Ito. Unfortunately, they're bad again in 2011 and would make no sense as a potential member of the SEC.


Uconn_mediumConnecticut: A recent Fiesta Bowl appearance could shine as this program's pinnacle for years, especially if Paul Pasqualoni remains at head coach for more than one season. While UConn shares the same SEC tradition of being a state school situated in the middle of nowhere, its huge distance from the south and culture shock between its campus and the SEC standard make it a bad fit. The Big East will be working hard to retain them as the flagship basketball member of the conference.

 

The In-State Rivals:

Louisville: Like UConn, Louisville's basketball is currently streets ahead of their football program. They'reLouisville_50t_medium a program firmly inside SEC territory and they wouldn't add much as far as new fanbases and television markets (Kentucky and Louisville share both similar markets and program weaknesses, leading to little fluctuation). Culturally, they'd be able to transition well to the SEC, but their inability to add much to the conference won't make them a top choice for expansion.

The Wildcats would likely also protest the addition of an in-state rival that could drain some of their local revenue sources. Louisville isn't an ideal candidate to join the SEC, but could see some interest from the league depending on how some of  the stronger fits across the southeast react to the idea of realignment.

South_florida_bulls_mediumSouth Florida: The program Jim Leavitt built rose from nothing to a #2 ranking in just 10 years, but has fallen off the national radar a bit despite three straight 8-5 seasons. The Bulls have qualified for a bowl game in every year they've been in the Big East and are developing a football culture in Tampa that could eventually rise to SEC levels. The 47,000-student school could be a strong addition as the university grows, though they would not be able to match the instant impact that A&M will bring the league.

The University of Florida's concerns over adding Florida State would apply here as well. While the Bulls don't have the cultural currency that the Seminoles bring with them, the addition of an in-state rival, especially in a state with a school as established as UF, could sink a South Florida transition. USF would bolster the SEC's presence in the state and pay off both media and recruiting dividends if the school can continue to grow. While the fates may not align in the Bulls' favor, a gamble on them could work in the conference's favor.

Texas Christian: TCU's stay in the Big East could be a brief one. The Texas school who joined an eastern conference Tcu_mediumjust for an automatic BCS bid now may be forced to watch the Big East lose theirs thanks to Pitt and Syracuse's defection. The Horned Frogs are a wild card who could help the SEC's expansion into Texas thanks to their Fort Worth connection. Their top 100 academic ranking would also put the school ahead of SEC members like Tennessee, South Carolina, and Kentucky and boost the league's profile more than almost any other Big East school.

TCU is still considered a major prize in college football's realignment thanks to the combination of a strong market, solid academics, and a great football program. That's good news for the SEC, but it also means that the Frogs will be in demand from other restructuring conferences - particularly whatever the Big 12 turns into. The Southeastern Conference would be a much higher profile move for TCU, but whether or not that league would extend an invitation to the school is unknown. So far, the Horned Frogs have stayed under the radar in SEC rumors.

The Wild Cards:

Westvirginia_50t_medium

West Virginia: A big-time tailgating and football culture carefully cultivated by rednecks and steeped in local tradition. The Mountaineers have solid athletic programs across the major sports and while their academic ranking would be the lowest in the conference, it wouldn't be much of a drop off for the league. WVU sits just 7 spots behind Mississippi State in the U.S. World and News Report Rankings and is even or tied with other potential defectors like Louisville and South Florida.

The Morgantown television market would bring a small but dedicated fan base and move the league's focus closer to a lucrative northeast audience. The Mountaineers also bring the added benefit of not clashing with any existing members as an in-state rival. While West Virginia doesn't fit the SEC mold to a T, they appear to be the best fit of the orphaned schools that the Big East may be leaving behind.

Cincinnati: Ohio presents a new challenge for the SEC, and the school's athletic programs are2132_medium consistently  becoming a presence in the upper levels of the NCAA. Cincinnati, a campus slowly growing out of its commuter base, would likely jump at the chance to join the SEC and push their ability to provide a better college experience and draw more students. The Bearcats would be fodder for most of the SEC's upper-level football teams (see: 2009 Sugar Bowl) and don't have the dedicated following that could capitalize on the campus's big-city location.

Stylistically, Cincinnati isn't a great fit for the league. However, they're still growing, and while their football program is dealing with recent setbacks, they have the room to develop into a moderately productive SEC member. They won't be the first team that the conference looks at, and probably only get a bid as a last-ditch scenario, but the conference could do worse than adding the Bearcats.

Poll
If the SEC were to add a team from the Big East, who do you think would be the best fit?
Connecticut
16 votes
Cincinnati
54 votes
Rutgers
28 votes
TCU
198 votes
West Virginia
831 votes
South Florida
169 votes
Louisville
193 votes
I don't want any Big East teams to join the SEC.
287 votes

1776 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 9 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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WVU

just wanted to add/point out that WVU does bring the Pittsburgh media market, as Morgantown is only about an hour from Pittsburgh

by asmith1022_2006 on Sep 18, 2011 5:31 PM EDT reply actions  

WVU's such a natural and obvious fit

that I can’t fathom why anyone else is the choice for 14. Geographically east, brings solid football AND basketball, SEC-caliber fanbase, and “Country Roads” clowns “Rocky Top” no matter how you cut it (play the Jason and the Nashville Scorchers version).

So with the Pac-16 inevitable and the ACC and SEC going to 14, the question becomes: who’s going to the B1G and will the Mountain West/WAC be able to somehow tool up to 16?

"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52

by VandyImport on Sep 18, 2011 7:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Kansas, Missouri, Notre Dame, and Rutgers

Seem like the only schools that would be a good fit for the Big Ten. The Mountain West could add/re-add TCU, Baylor, Kansas State, Iowa State, and BYU/Utah State.

I think WVU is coming to the SEC.

by KC Commodore on Sep 18, 2011 8:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Makes sense to me

AAU members, plus I am one of those who thinks that if it really does become the B1G Sixteen, Notre Dame is the 16th team in – unless the Big East reverts to a basketball-only conference and they decide they can hang with that.

"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52

by VandyImport on Sep 18, 2011 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Here's an article on why the SEC may not want WVU

http://outkickthecoverage.com/west-virginia-to-the-sec-makes-no-sense-wont-happen.php

(And, as we now apparently know, the SEC doesn’t want WVU)

I agree with one thing in this article - Missouri is the best option available to the SEC right now for #14. It’s an AAU school (improve our academic profile), it brings two pretty big markets, and it seems to me like a good fit geographically and culturally. Now, will the Big XII put another band-aid on its wounds and manage to keep Mizzou? Will the Big 10 take them away?

To me, WVU = meh.

by BrianSWard on Sep 20, 2011 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

WVU

I am not a huge fan of WVU as the 14th, but they are probably the best of the Big East. The real question is if we want any Big East School. I still favor going after Missouri and those two TV markets.

by Smoke n Mirrors on Sep 18, 2011 7:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Will the SEC

attempt to poach any of the southern ACC schools? Florida State, Clemson, Georgia Tech?

Do recent developments force the SEC into moving past the supposed agreement not to add from within the conference footprint?

It really looks like there are going to be 4 16-team super-conferences (with FBS teams). Does the SEC go after Florida St., Clemson, or Georgia Tech?

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by KingJamesIV on Sep 18, 2011 8:28 PM EDT reply actions  

If it's 16

I would love to re-add Georgia Tech, both for historical reasons and because it gives me a division rivalry with my smarter cousin. I think either FSU or Clemson would be a better match for the SEC than Missouri or West Virginia…

"Well, if that ain't a show, I'll kiss your ass." - Gov. Jim Folsom Sr. (D-AL), 1948-52

by VandyImport on Sep 18, 2011 8:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think the SEC is at that point yet ...

will be interesting to see if they ever get there. I agree that those three – FSU, Clemson, Georgia Tech – carry a lot of appeal to fans. There are some great rivalries in that group, with some of the present SEC members. But, for now, the SEC doesn’t seem to have any interest in expanding in current states.

Now, if the SEC can’t get Mizzou, Va Tech, or N.C. State … then what?

by BrianSWard on Sep 20, 2011 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

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