BlogPoll: Week 7 Initial AOG Ballot
by KingJamesIV on Oct 11, 2010 12:46 PM EDT
in Vanderbilt Commodores Football
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Print*** Each week AOG will release an initial ballot based off a highly dubious mathematical formula (think Sagarin, KenPom, or RPI). It is certain that this initial ballot will be rife with error. Keep this in mind when crafting your response. AOG's final ballot will be tweaked based on sound reasoning in the commentary. BlogPoll final ballots are due by Wednesday of each week. ***
Anchor of Gold Ballot - Week 7
| Rank | Team | Delta |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | TCU Horned Frogs |  5 |
| 2 | LSU Tigers | 10 |
| 3 | Boise St. Broncos | -- |
| 4 | Oklahoma Sooners |  -2 |
| 5 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 9 |
| 6 | Oregon Ducks | -2 |
| 7 | Alabama Crimson Tide | -6 |
| 8 | Auburn Tigers | 1 |
| 9 | Ohio St. Buckeyes | -4 |
| 10 | Stanford Cardinal | -- |
| 11 | Missouri Tigers | 6 |
| 12 | Michigan St. Spartans | 8 |
| 13 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 11 |
| 14 | Arizona Wildcats | -7 |
| 15 | Nevada Wolf Pack | 1 |
| 16 | Oregon St. Beavers | -- |
| 17 | Florida St. Seminoles | 5 |
| 18 | Utah Utes | 1 |
| 19 | Oklahoma St. Cowboys | -6 |
| 20 | California Golden Bears | -- |
| 21 | Arkansas Razorbacks | -13 |
| 22 | Iowa Hawkeyes | -11 |
| 23 | Florida Gators | -8 |
| 24 | Air Force Falcons | 1 |
| 25 | N.C. State Wolfpack | -- |
| Dropouts: Michigan Wolverines, Miami Hurricanes, Kansas St. Wildcats | ||
SB Nation BlogPoll College Football Top 25 Rankings "
The Formula: currently I'm starting with these meta rankings and then adding additional win and loss factors (currently simply an average of the meta rankings of the opponents who have beaten them and whom they've beaten).
Again, all anomalies belong to the formula.
I'd also like to thank those who commented last week. Your opinion matters. Help us shape our ballot!
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That formula is BRUTAL
Arkansas squeaks by A&M, but ’Bama loses…Hogs drop 13 spots.
Oregon beats WSU by 20…drops 2 spots.
The computers clearly do not tolerate bullshit.
http://www.anchorofgold.com - For all 27 Vanderbilt fans out there.
by Christian D'Andrea on Oct 11, 2010 6:59 PM EDT reply actions
Yes
Play a bad team, get penalized. That’s why the buckeyes get penalized as well.
It’s almost more interesting to see how crazy I could make it look, although if you compare it to other computer formulas, it’s not THAT bad.
And keep in mind that the delta is based on our human-based final ballot and not last week’s AOG formula initial ballot. Though I definitely tweaked the formula quite a bit between now and then.
Iowa: Take the week off, drop 11 spots
Mind you, I think the Hawkeyes were drastically overrated at the start of the season and the Arizona loss was a “correction”.
I salute AOG for going with a quant model but it takes some tweaking so that bye weeks aren’t having this kind of effect.
Oh...
Never mind about the bye week’s effect. I thought you’d been going with the resume model for a couple of weeks now.
Tweaked the formula a bit...
Wasn’t properly valuing FCS wins.
I also re-weighted the meta ranking so that it is more important than it was. Trying to decide if I want to up the weight on losses. We’ll see.
I’m think LSU is probably a little too high, especially given their luck and close wins and what not. I think Auburn is perhaps a better team (as are some of the other teams around LSU in the BlogPoll), but since nobody else really gave me some direction here, I’m going to submit the calculations. Maybe we’ll win some awards for dubiousness this week.
01 Boise St
02 LSU
03 Oklahoma
04 TCU
05 Oregon
06 Ohio St
07 Nebraska
08 Auburn
09 Alabama
10 Stanford
11 Missouri
12 South Carolina
13 Michigan St
14 Oregon St
15 Arizona
16 Nevada
17 Utah
18 Florida St
19 Oklahoma St
20 Iowa
21 Arkansas
22 Florida
23 California
24 NC State
25 Air Force
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