Periscope: Vanderbilt @ Alabama

I'd like to lead off by congratulating the Crimson Tide football team on extending the SEC's streak of BCS National Championships! I heard Nick Saban is throwing this awesome party tonight to celebrate. He said anyone who doesn't show will be branded a closet Vawl fan. Seriously. I heard the University will be taking attendance and anyone who has football season tickets that doesn't show will be losing them. Oh, and I think it starts at 8pm, which coincidentally is the start time of the basketball game tonight. Nevermind that home court advantages have a tremendous impact on the outcome of basketball games. You should totally go to the party. I mean, if you are a true Tide football fan...

Over the years, road games in which Vanderbilt has been statistically favored have been few and far between. This season appears to be the exception. Ken Pomeroy gives Vanderbilt a 57% chance of victory tonight (prediction: VU 72, UA 70 with a tempo of 68).

The Commodores and the Crimson Tide split their contests last season, with Vanderbilt winning the regular season matchup in Nashville and Alabama winning in the opening round of the SEC Tournament. 'Bama leads the all-time series 65-62.

While Vanderbilt is currently on a six game win streak, the Crimson Tide have a four game win streak of their own. JaMychal Green and Mikhail Torrance are Alabama's leading scorers with 15.6 and 15.5 points per game, respectively. Senario Hillman has been playing well lately, scoring double-digits in the last four games.

Commodores vs Crimson Tide coverage

Schedule Breakdown

*** Through Games Played 01/12/2010 /// All Numbers From Kenpom.com ***


Aside from a solid pasting of the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge, Alabama has a solid win against Michigan (on a neutral floor). Their worst loss was in their season opener at the hands of Cornell.

Offensively, Vanderbilt will be the second most efficient opponent Alabama has faced. Defensively, Vanderbilt will be the 4th toughest opponent Alabama will have faced this season. The Crimson Tide will be the 3rd best offensive and 5th best defensive team the Commodores will have faced.

Statistical Breakdown

 

Vanderbilt matches up very well physically against Alabama, whose tallest players are 6'9 (JaMychal Green, Justin Knox and seldom-used Justin Luquire). It will be interesting to see A.J. Ogilvy go up against JaMychal Green, who gives up 2 inches and 30+ lbs to the stout Aussie. This is a matchup that A.J. needs to dominate if he wants to prove himself ready for the NBA. Hopefully Festus Ezeli will continue to show signs of his improvement when he comes in to relieve A.J.

Considering Vanderbilt squared off against an Anthony Grant-coached VCU team last season, it should come as no surprise to Commodore fans that Alabama plays a very similar style to Florida. One would expect that Coach Stallings has made few adjustments to the gameplan he used to defeat Florida. Look for Andre Walker to be a key distributor of the ball should Alabama attempt to neutralize A.J. with a zone defense.

Of the four factors, Vanderbilt has comfortable leads in free throw rate and effective field goal percentage. Alabama has narrow leads in offensive rebound percentage and turnover percentage. Keep in mind that schedule difficulty plays a role in these numbers.

Traditional Statistics


FG 3PT FT Rebounds Misc
G M M A Pct M A Pct M A Pct Off Def Tot Ast TO Stl Blk PF PPG
JaMychal Green 15 26.7 6.1 10.9 55.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.5 5.0 69.3 3.1 3.7 6.8 1.3 2.4 1.1 2.2 3.2 15.6
Mikhail Torrance 15 32.3 5.1 10.0 51.3 0.9 2.6 35.9 4.3 4.9 87.8 0.3 3.1 3.5 5.1 2.9 0.8 0.3 1.3 15.5
Tony Mitchell 13 19.2 3.6 6.8 53.4 0.3 1.5 20.0 1.5 2.6 55.9 1.9 2.3 4.2 0.3 0.2 1.9 0.5 1.5 9.0
Senario Hillman 15 26.0 3.4 8.7 39.2 0.7 2.2 33.3 1.3 1.9 67.9 1.2 2.2 3.4 2.7 1.7 1.7 0.1 2.9 8.8
Justin Knox 15 19.9 2.3 4.8 47.2 0.1 0.1 100.0 2.3 2.9 79.1 1.5 2.2 3.7 0.7 1.5 0.6 0.5 2.5 6.9
Anthony Brock 13 26.5 2.0 5.5 36.1 1.7 4.0 42.3 0.6 0.8 80.0 0.3 1.7 2.0 2.1 0.5 1.2 0.1 1.7 6.3
Charvez Davis 15 19.7 2.2 6.4 34.4 1.7 5.0 34.7 0.1 0.3 40.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.9 6.3
Andrew Steele 6 17.7 1.2 2.3 50.0 0.3 0.8 40.0 1.2 2.3 50.0 1.0 1.8 2.8 1.2 1.5 0.2 0.2 2.2 3.8
Chris Hines 15 15.6 1.2 2.5 48.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 50.0 1.1 1.9 3.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 2.3 2.9
Ben Eblen 15 10.4 0.5 1.2 38.9 0.1 0.4 16.7 0.2 0.4 50.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.2
Justin Luquire 3 3.7 0.3 0.7 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7
Greg Cage 4 5.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
Chris Dixon 3 2.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0


Vanderbilt has the size, depth, and statistics on their side. For once, Vanderbilt won't be the team that has to overcome the odds. Quite the contrast to the recently ended football season

Game Previews

MBB heads to Alabama - VANDERBILT OFFICIAL ATHLETIC SITE

VUcommodores.com Blog: Tinsley puts in extra work

Role players make Vanderbilt click | The Tennessean

Stallings sees some ‘Gator’ in Alabama | Nashville City Paper

VSL Gets You Ready: Vanderbilt Travels to Tuscaloosa | Vanderbilt Sports Line

Previewing Vanderbilt at Alabama | VandySports.com (Rivals - Premium)

Vanderbilt – Alabama Preview | VandyMania.com (Scout - Premium)

Commodores travel to Title Town | InsideVandy

Alabama: Five Questions for Drew [Maddux] | VandySports.com (Rivals - Premium)

SEC Basketball Power Rankings - 01/12/10 | Dore Posts

Blog Archive " Checking in on… the SEC | Rush The Court

Vanderbilt — A.J. Ogilvy responded to being back in the starting lineup and scored 24 points, and Vanderbilt opened the Southeastern Conference schedule beating Florida, 95-87, on Saturday for the Commodores’ sixth straight victory.  Jermaine Beal added 22 points and Jeffery Taylor had a perfect shooting day (5-5 FG, 4-4 FT) to add 14 points for the Commodores.

Roll Bama Roll has a couple previews for your enjoyment (first, second). If their basketball coverage is half as good as their coverage of football, you're in for a treat.

Tipoff is set for 20:00 CT and the game will be televised on CSS (ESPN Full Court & ESPN360). Join us in the game thread, which will open about an hour before tipoff. Don't forget to visit Stat King to make your selection for the game. Apparently I need some competition.

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