Periscope: Vanderbilt vs. Missouri

by KingJamesIV on Dec 2, 2009 12:29 PM EST in Vanderbilt Commodores Basketball Comment 2 comments

The perceived controversy between Vanderbilt and its last opponent, Arizona, is simply a blip on the radar compared to the potential for bad-blood between Missouri and Vandy.

Back when Shan Foster was a player, Vandy had another stud wing/power forward named DeMarre Carroll from the same recruiting class. As fans of both teams know, DeMarre transferred from Vanderbilt due to some extremely complex circumstances. He ended up at Missouri where his uncle, Mike Anderson, was and still is head coach. Despite what could be perceived as some shady dealings, both teams and head coaches are happy with the course of history. DeMarre sat out for his NCAA-required season and became quite the leader as a 5th-year senior for Coach Anderson as Missouri made it to the Elite 8 last season. Vanderbilt was a missed-traveling-call-away from a Sweet 16 victory over Georgetown and an Elite 8 appearance in the season after Carroll's departure. All's well that ends well.

Here is a link to the TSN Preview of the game:

Tigers vs Commodores preview

In what figures to be a close game from start to finish, give an edge to Vanderbilt. The Commodores have the obvious advantage of playing at home, and Ogilvy is due for a big game.

The Anchor of Gold's Patented Statistical Breakdown:

I made a few minor changes from the version I used (hastily I might add) for the Vandy-Arizona preview from last week. The two right-most columns are tempo free stats (thus the "Tempo Free" label above them). PPWS is Points Per Weighted Shot. It's a less-intense version of personal efficiency. The higher the number, the more efficient the scorer. To the right is effective Field Goal percentage.

Also, along the bottom I've completely adjusted the Team statistics I was using. All of these team stats are now tempo free. PPP is points per possession. Off Eff is Offensive Efficiency which is a measure of points scored per 100 possessions. Def Eff is Defensive Efficiency which is a measure of points allowed per 100 defensive possession . Pace is the average number of possessions per game. TO% is Turnover Percentage which is a measure of the number of possessions that result in a turnover. FTRate is Free Throw Rate, which is a measure of how efficient a team is at generating free throw opportunities off their shots.

Kim English is currently coming off the bench for Missouri. It will be interesting to see if Mike Anderson maintains that strategy tonight. This is the reason for the disparity between the benches. Further, Missouri hasn't played nearly the schedule that Vanderbilt has. So it's hard to effectively compare the numbers between teams. As it stands, Missouri has quite a few statistical edges on Vanderbilt. We will see how that plays out tonight. I suspect that the statistics don't quite reflect reality.

One thing I'd like to point out is that thus far, the Tigers are only averaging just over half an extra possession per game over the Commodores.

Gameday Links:

Vanderbilt needs Ogilvy to get physical | tennessean.com | The Tennessean

"I felt like I was really contributing," Ogilvy said. "I'm starting to feel better and get back into game shape. I think I played better in the last game, but I was trying to be aggressive the whole tournament. My role was a little more prominent in the last game. I think that's the only thing it was." Coach Kevin Stallings pointed out that Ogilvy's performance in the Arizona game was part of a strategy to go after Wildcats freshman Derrick Williams, who took 21 foul shots and scored 25 points against Wisconsin two days earlier. Williams attempted just two foul shots and fouled out after 14 minutes against the Commodores' big men. "We just kept going in there and A.J. just kept doing good things with it," Stallings said. "A.J. is in the process of getting back to 100 percent. We need him back to 100 percent if we are going to be who we want to be."

Vanderbilt's John Jenkins feels at ease | tennessean.com | The Tennessean

Polar opposites up next for VU hoops squad | Nashville City Paper

For Vanderbilt (4-1), the latter is particularly true this week. The Commodores face Missouri on Wednesday (8:30 p.m., ESPNU) and DePaul on Saturday (3 p.m.) in games that figure to have little in common other than that they’ll both be played at Memorial Gymnasium. Missouri (4-1) comes to town with a fast-paced, pressing approach. The Tigers average 22.4 forced turnovers and 14.2 steals per game in what they like to call "The Fastest 40 minutes in basketball." "In terms of Missouri’s fast-paced, frenetic style of play …and then DePaul, which is use the clock, slow you down and very, very patient and deliberate, it couldn’t be any more contrasting than the two styles we’ll see this week," Stallings said.

MU wants to pick up the pace against Vanderbilt | KansasCity.com

Bowers contends Missouri needs to average four possessions to every one possession of the opposition to keep the Tigers’ running game at an optimum level. That means pressure defense, creating turnovers, and up-tempo offense, finishing off fast breaks with points.

Good luck quadrupling Vandy's possessions tonight.

Mizzou to face more than just Vanderbilt | STLtoday.com

Some great quotes from coaches who have been rattled by the "arrangement" at Memorial.

Missouri men's basketball team prepares for unique gym | Columbia Missourian

A second article makes it seem like the aura of Memorial is definitely in their heads.

Previewing the Tigers: Missouri Comes to Memorial to Face the Commodores | Vanderbilt Sports Line

Before you dog Missouri too bad for losing to the Spiders, it's noteworthy that prior to playing Mizzou, Richmond knocked-off Mississippi State 63-62. I know they lost to Bill and Mary, but that was game 1 of the year, and clearly the Spiders are a team that might make some noise in the A-10. This is all a long way of saying that Mizzou's loss to seemingly lesser opponent should not lull Commodore fans to sleep on this team.

Tournament Bracketology: Week Three | Collegehoops.net

Interesting. CollegeHoopsNet.com has Vandy as the SEC Tournament winner and an 8 seed in their week three bracketology.

Ten sophomores who are poised for a breakout season in hoops | SI.com

Vandy forward Jeffery Taylor has gone from a great defender to another scoring option.

Check out the picture.

Cave Spring's Josh Henderson has a growing game | Roanoke.com

Nice article on one of the three basketball recruits that signed with Vanderbilt last month.

What to expect from elite freshmen in basketball's Age-Limit era | SI.com

There have been some impressive sleepers at wing forward with rankings of 61 and above: Purdue's Robbie Hummel had a 126.7 rating as the 62nd-ranked freshman in '07-08, Vanderbilt's Jeffery Taylor had a 106.6 rating as the 97th-rated freshman in '08-09, and West Virginia's Da'Sean Butler had a 107.1 rating as the 99th-ranked freshman in '06-07. All three of those players are All-America candidates this season.

Looking for more of a Missouri perspective? Head on over to Rock M Nation for their analysis.

Post your pregame predictions below. Also, make sure to head over to Stat-King to vote on who you think will be the best-performing Commodore this evening.

Poll

What will be the outcome of tonight's matchup with Missouri?

Vanderbilt by more than 7

7 votes

Vanderbilt by 7 or less

7 votes

Missouri by 7 of less

13 votes

Missouri by more than 7

8 votes

35 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 2 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Dude these stats are awesome

I always admire them yet never know where to find them. Granted it may be a bit early for them to tell too much, but it definitely reveals something about the teams.

One key I think is making Missouri play our game, and not letting them play theirs. We’ve gotta be mature and deliberate, which is somewhat of a concern with a young team. Playing at home will help, but we’ve gotta play well in the half court set, get the ball to our size, and for crying out loud rebound well.

Definitely telling about their SOS vs. ours. Hopefully that’s the reason they hold a statistical advantage, which I suspect it will be. Go Dores!

by Stanimal@VSL on Dec 2, 2009 2:45 PM EST reply actions

Good stuff, sir.

And, welcome to the network, by the way…

As far as this game is concerned, I’m not sure that it can be measured how excited Missouri is to be able to play uptempo and run the floor a little bit more against Vandy. Richmond completely took the air out of the ball in South Padre, and Mizzou is horribly, horribly uncomfortable in the half court this year. Ideally, Missouri wants 4 possessions for every opposing possession. Every step that ratio inches closer to 1:1, the Tigers are in more trouble.

All in all, it’s an exciting team, but a young one. Missouri’s defensive identity is built and bronzed, but the team is still figuring out who they are on offense.

If you any Vandy fans have any questions, feel free to drop by over at Rock M Nation and we’ll be happy to help out. Really looking forward to tonight’s game and seeing how the Tigers perform at one of the cooler venues in college basketball.

http://www.RockMNation.com
Follow RMN on Twitter!

by RPT on Dec 2, 2009 3:18 PM EST reply actions